Hooked on … pendant lamps

Hey y’all … it’s Friday and once again I’m participating in Julia‘s blog party … and today I’m totally hooked on pendant lamps! Oh my goodness … I can’t even begin to explain how much I want a big house just so I can have multiple surfaces to hang pendant lamps over!

Check these out! I’d love to see these above a fun basement bar in a great rec-room … especially one with fun old-school panelling on the walls!

I see a lot of blown glass pendants over kitchen bar areas and here are a few good examples of popular styles. These are usually grouped in twos or threes and can either be hung at the same height or, as seen in this picture, in varying heights. Just make sure they’re all the same or at least in a similar unifying style (unlike these examples).

And how about these? Wouldn’t these bamboo pendants look great over a casual dining table … maybe again in that rec-room or over a desk in a study?

I’ve seen these pretty stars hanging in a corner of a living room and I, for one, think they look fabulous!

Another great use of pendant lamps is in a hallway … especially if you have a fun modern home or office!

Keep in mind that you don’t need to just hang the pendant lamps over the bar area or in hallways or over desks. Instead of the traditional chandelier people are starting to hang two pendant lamps over the dining table to create a more modern dining area. Check out the examples below!

 I especially love the pattern hidden inside this last set! Absolutely gorgeous!

Okay y’all … that’s it for today. Check out the rest of the fun things posted at the blog party over at Hooked On Houses and have a wonderful weekend! :-)

Movits!

Oh my goodness … saw this band on the Colbert Report … they’re amazing! I have absolutely no idea what they’re saying but they’re fantastic! Movits! is a band that is definitely one of the Things I Like! I can’t get enough … I so wish I knew what they were really saying … the video posted above is Fel Del Av Gården.

Movits

Below I’m posting the video of the song they sang on Stephen Colbert’s show … Äppelknyckarjazz. It’s so cool I have no words :-)

Word of the day: Aid

According to the Merriam-Webster Dictionary … the word aid means to give assistance. It does not mean to cover fully with no help at all. The Free Application for Federal Student Aid (FAFSA) is just that, an application for assistance in covering the costs associated with higher education. The tools on-line to help you understand the process of financing your education discuss the importance of preparation and utilization of all resources in addition to applying for federal aid. Please stop assuming that a college education is free and you do not need to work for it or save up for it or make any effort to participate in the funding.

Around Christmastime I met a man from Senegalwho discussed how much he valued our way of handling higher education. He claimed that because education was free in his country the students didn’t take it seriously and took advantage of their situation. Many would start random protests over very trivial things and cause mass destruction of the buses or buildings with little thought of the consequences. For them, it wasn’t their money so they didn’t care what happened … someone else would have to pay for it. They do not understand what it means to have to work for something.

As much as I believe there should be more programs through your employer to encourage you to save for your child’s education, I believe that having the student work hard to obtain an education causes one to be more cognizant of the outcomes. There is no free lunch people … this is a hard lesson for many to learn. But I believe that hard work results in a better work ethic and those that aren’t handed things in life tend to fair better in the long run.

That’s all … hope you’re having a great week! :)

I.O.U.S.A.

 

I have mentioned via Twitter that I recently watched and then re-watched the documentary I.O.U.S.A. and have mentioned how important I think this documentary is for us Americans. We must not only watch but re-watch until we fully understand just how giant this fiscal crisis is and how important it is for us to take action now before we suffer further consequences.

Here you can see the Trade Deficit, National Debt, and Personal Savings.

 Trade Deficit

National Debt

Personal Savings

Video below: PGPF President and CEO Dave Walker on 60 Minutes.

The spending in this country is out of control, folks. It’s ridiculous. We must take action … we must do something. Please watch the film. Within the documentary they mention an article Squanderville versus Thriftville by Warren Buffet that was featured in the October 2003 edition of FORTUNE. I’m including the article below if you are interested in reading.

Please understand that by no means am I an economist. I know as much as y’all. However, I personally have suffered with the mortgage and housing crisis and have barely been scraping by each month. You know that I don’t have cable, I don’t buy new things, I have an old television and rabbit ears, I don’t get my nails manicured or my hair colored on a regular basis, I am about as frugal as I can get on my budget and yet still I struggle. We need to wake up and smell the coffee because this is only going to get worse.

~Caron

Squanderville versus Thriftville by Warren Buffet

I’m about to deliver a warning regarding the U.S. trade deficit and also suggest a remedy for the problem. But first I need to mention two reasons you might want to be skeptical about what I say. To begin, my forecasting record with respect to macroeconomics is far from inspiring. For example, over the past two decades I was excessively fearful of inflation. More to the point at hand, I started way back in 1987 to publicly worry about our mounting trade deficits — and, as you know, we’ve not only survived but also thrived. So on the trade front, score at least one “wolf” for me. Nevertheless, I am crying wolf again and this time backing it with Berkshire Hathaway’s money. Through the spring of 2002, I had lived nearly 72 years without purchasing a foreign currency. Since then Berkshire has made significant investments in — and today holds — several currencies. I won’t give you particulars; in fact, it is largely irrelevant which currencies they are. What does matter is the underlying point: To hold other currencies is to believe that the dollar will decline.

Both as an American and as an investor, I actually hope these commitments prove to be a mistake. Any profits Berkshire might make from currency trading would pale against the losses the company and our shareholders, in other aspects of their lives, would incur from a plunging dollar.

But as head of Berkshire Hathaway, I am in charge of investing its money in ways that make sense. And my reason for finally putting my money where my mouth has been so long is that our trade deficit has greatly worsened, to the point that our country’s “net worth,” so to speak, is now being transferred abroad at an alarming rate.

A perpetuation of this transfer will lead to major trouble. To understand why, take a wildly fanciful trip with me to two isolated, side-by-side islands of equal size, Squanderville and Thriftville. Land is the only capital asset on these islands, and their communities are primitive, needing only food and producing only food. Working eight hours a day, in fact, each inhabitant can produce enough food to sustain himself or herself. And for a long time that’s how things go along. On each island everybody works the prescribed eight hours a day, which means that each society is self-sufficient.

Eventually, though, the industrious citizens of Thriftville decide to do some serious saving and investing, and they start to work 16 hours a day. In this mode they continue to live off the food they produce in eight hours of work but begin exporting an equal amount to their one and only trading outlet, Squanderville.

The citizens of Squanderville are ecstatic about this turn of events, since they can now live their lives free from toil but eat as well as ever. Oh, yes, there’s a quid pro quo — but to the Squanders, it seems harmless: All that the Thrifts want in exchange for their food is Squanderbonds (which are denominated, naturally, in Squanderbucks).

Over time Thriftville accumulates an enormous amount of these bonds, which at their core represent claim checks on the future output of Squanderville. A few pundits in Squanderville smell trouble coming. They foresee that for the Squanders both to eat and to pay off — or simply service — the debt they’re piling up will eventually require them to work more than eight hours a day. But the residents of Squanderville are in no mood to listen to such doomsaying.

Meanwhile, the citizens of Thriftville begin to get nervous. Just how good, they ask, are the IOUs of a shiftless island? So the Thrifts change strategy: Though they continue to hold some bonds, they sell most of them to Squanderville residents for Squanderbucks and use the proceeds to buy Squanderville land. And eventually the Thrifts own all of Squanderville.

At that point, the Squanders are forced to deal with an ugly equation: They must now not only return to working eight hours a day in order to eat — they have nothing left to trade — but must also work additional hours to service their debt and pay Thriftville rent on the land so imprudently sold. In effect, Squanderville has been colonized by purchase rather than conquest.

It can be argued, of course, that the present value of the future production that Squanderville must forever ship to Thriftville only equates to the production Thriftville initially gave up and that therefore both have received a fair deal. But since one generation of Squanders gets the free ride and future generations pay in perpetuity for it, there are — in economist talk — some pretty dramatic “intergenerational inequities.”

Let’s think of it in terms of a family: Imagine that I, Warren Buffett, can get the suppliers of all that I consume in my lifetime to take Buffett family IOUs that are payable, in goods and services and with interest added, by my descendants. This scenario may be viewed as effecting an even trade between the Buffett family unit and its creditors. But the generations of Buffetts following me are not likely to applaud the deal (and, heaven forbid, may even attempt to welsh on it).

Think again about those islands: Sooner or later the Squanderville government, facing ever greater payments to service debt, would decide to embrace highly inflationary policies — that is, issue more Squanderbucks to dilute the value of each. After all, the government would reason, those irritating Squanderbonds are simply claims on specific numbers of Squanderbucks, not on bucks of specific value. In short, making Squanderbucks less valuable would ease the island’s fiscal pain.

That prospect is why I, were I a resident of Thriftville, would opt for direct ownership of Squanderville land rather than bonds of the island’s government. Most governments find it much harder morally to seize foreign-owned property than they do to dilute the purchasing power of claim checks foreigners hold. Theft by stealth is preferred to theft by force.

So what does all this island hopping have to do with the U.S.? Simply put, after World War II and up until the early 1970s we operated in the industrious Thriftville style, regularly selling more abroad than we purchased. We concurrently invested our surplus abroad, with the result that our net investment — that is, our holdings of foreign assets less foreign holdings of U.S. assets — increased (under methodology, since revised, that the government was then using) from $37 billion in 1950 to $68 billion in 1970. In those days, to sum up, our country’s “net worth,” viewed in totality, consisted of all the wealth within our borders plus a modest portion of the wealth in the rest of the world.

Additionally, because the U.S. was in a net ownership position with respect to the rest of the world, we realized net investment income that, piled on top of our trade surplus, became a second source of investable funds. Our fiscal situation was thus similar to that of an individual who was both saving some of his salary and reinvesting the dividends from his existing nest egg.

In the late 1970s the trade situation reversed, producing deficits that initially ran about 1 percent of GDP. That was hardly serious, particularly because net investment income remained positive. Indeed, with the power of compound interest working for us, our net ownership balance hit its high in 1980 at $360 billion.

Since then, however, it’s been all downhill, with the pace of decline rapidly accelerating in the past five years. Our annual trade deficit now exceeds 4 percent of GDP. Equally ominous, the rest of the world owns a staggering $2.5 trillion more of the U.S. than we own of other countries. Some of this $2.5 trillion is invested in claim checks — U.S. bonds, both governmental and private — and some in such assets as property and equity securities.

In effect, our country has been behaving like an extraordinarily rich family that possesses an immense farm. In order to consume 4 percent more than we produce — that’s the trade deficit — we have, day by day, been both selling pieces of the farm and increasing the mortgage on what we still own.

To put the $2.5 trillion of net foreign ownership in perspective, contrast it with the $12 trillion value of publicly owned U.S. stocks or the equal amount of U.S. residential real estate or what I would estimate as a grand total of $50 trillion in national wealth. Those comparisons show that what’s already been transferred abroad is meaningful — in the area, for example, of 5 percent of our national wealth.

More important, however, is that foreign ownership of our assets will grow at about $500 billion per year at the present trade-deficit level, which means that the deficit will be adding about one percentage point annually to foreigners’ net ownership of our national wealth. As that ownership grows, so will the annual net investment income flowing out of this country. That will leave us paying ever-increasing dividends and interest to the world rather than being a net receiver of them, as in the past. We have entered the world of negative compounding — goodbye pleasure, hello pain.

We were taught in Economics 101 that countries could not for long sustain large, ever-growing trade deficits. At a point, so it was claimed, the spree of the consumption-happy nation would be braked by currency-rate adjustments and by the unwillingness of creditor countries to accept an endless flow of IOUs from the big spenders. And that’s the way it has indeed worked for the rest of the world, as we can see by the abrupt shutoffs of credit that many profligate nations have suffered in recent decades.

The U.S., however, enjoys special status. In effect, we can behave today as we wish because our past financial behavior was so exemplary — and because we are so rich. Neither our capacity nor our intention to pay is questioned, and we continue to have a mountain of desirable assets to trade for consumables. In other words, our national credit card allows us to charge truly breathtaking amounts. But that card’s credit line is not limitless.

The time to halt this trading of assets for consumables is now, and I have a plan to suggest for getting it done. My remedy may sound gimmicky, and in truth it is a tariff called by another name. But this is a tariff that retains most free-market virtues, neither protecting specific industries nor punishing specific countries nor encouraging trade wars. This plan would increase our exports and might well lead to increased overall world trade. And it would balance our books without there being a significant decline in the value of the dollar, which I believe is otherwise almost certain to occur.

We would achieve this balance by issuing what I will call Import Certificates (ICs) to all U.S. exporters in an amount equal to the dollar value of their exports. Each exporter would, in turn, sell the ICs to parties — either exporters abroad or importers here — wanting to get goods into the U.S. To import $1 million of goods, for example, an importer would need ICs that were the byproduct of $1 million of exports. The inevitable result: trade balance.

Because our exports total about $80 billion a month, ICs would be issued in huge, equivalent quantities — that is, 80 billion certificates a month — and would surely trade in an exceptionally liquid market. Competition would then determine who among those parties wanting to sell to us would buy the certificates and how much they would pay. (I visualize that the certificates would be issued with a short life, possibly of six months, so that speculators would be discouraged from accumulating them.)

For illustrative purposes, let’s postulate that each IC would sell for 10 cents — that is, 10 cents per dollar of exports behind them. Other things being equal, this amount would mean a U.S. producer could realize 10 percent more by selling his goods in the export market than by selling them domestically, with the extra 10 percent coming from his sales of ICs.

In my opinion, many exporters would view this as a reduction in cost, one that would let them cut the prices of their products in international markets. Commodity-type products would particularly encourage this kind of behavior. If aluminum, for example, was selling for 66 cents per pound domestically and ICs were worth 10 percent, domestic aluminum producers could sell for about 60 cents per pound (plus transportation costs) in foreign markets and still earn normal margins. In this scenario, the output of the U.S. would become significantly more competitive and exports would expand. Along the way, the number of jobs would grow.

Foreigners selling to us, of course, would face tougher economics. But that’s a problem they’re up against no matter what trade “solution” is adopted — and make no mistake, a solution must come. (As Herb Stein said, “If something cannot go on forever, it will stop.”) In one way the IC approach would give countries selling to us great flexibility, since the plan does not penalize any specific industry or product. In the end, the free market would determine what would be sold in the U.S. and who would sell it. The ICs would determine only the aggregate dollar volume of what was sold.

To see what would happen to imports, let’s look at a car now entering the U.S. at a cost to the importer of $20,000. Under the new plan and the assumption that ICs sell for 10 percent, the importer’s cost would rise to $22,000. If demand for the car was exceptionally strong, the importer might manage to pass all of this on to the American consumer. In the usual case, however, competitive forces would take hold, requiring the foreign manufacturer to absorb some, if not all, of the $2,000 IC cost.

There is no free lunch in the IC plan: It would have certain serious negative consequences for U.S. citizens. Prices of most imported products would increase, and so would the prices of certain competitive products manufactured domestically. The cost of the ICs, either in whole or in part, would therefore typically act as a tax on consumers.

That is a serious drawback. But there would be drawbacks also to the dollar continuing to lose value or to our increasing tariffs on specific products or instituting quotas on them — courses of action that in my opinion offer a smaller chance of success. Above all, the pain of higher prices on goods imported today dims beside the pain we will eventually suffer if we drift along and trade away ever larger portions of our country’s net worth.

I believe that ICs would produce, rather promptly, a U.S. trade equilibrium well above present export levels but below present import levels. The certificates would moderately aid all our industries in world competition, even as the free market determined which of them ultimately met the test of “comparative advantage.”

This plan would not be copied by nations that are net exporters, because their ICs would be valueless. Would major exporting countries retaliate in other ways? Would this start another Smoot-Hawley tariff war? Hardly. At the time of Smoot-Hawley we ran an unreasonable trade surplus that we wished to maintain. We now run a damaging deficit that the whole world knows we must correct.

For decades the world has struggled with a shifting maze of punitive tariffs, export subsidies, quotas, dollar-locked currencies, and the like. Many of these import-inhibiting and export-encouraging devices have long been employed by major exporting countries trying to amass ever larger surpluses — yet significant trade wars have not erupted. Surely one will not be precipitated by a proposal that simply aims at balancing the books of the world’s largest trade debtor. Major exporting countries have behaved quite rationally in the past and they will continue to do so — though, as always, it may be in their interest to attempt to convince us that they will behave otherwise.

The likely outcome of an IC plan is that the exporting nations — after some initial posturing — will turn their ingenuity to encouraging imports from us. Take the position of China, which today sells us about $140 billion of goods and services annually while purchasing only $25 billion. Were ICs to exist, one course for China would be simply to fill the gap by buying 115 billion certificates annually. But it could alternatively reduce its need for ICs by cutting its exports to the U.S. or by increasing its purchases from us. This last choice would probably be the most palatable for China, and we should wish it to be so.

If our exports were to increase and the supply of ICs were therefore to be enlarged, their market price would be driven down. Indeed, if our exports expanded sufficiently, ICs would be rendered valueless and the entire plan made moot. Presented with the power to make this happen, important exporting countries might quickly eliminate the mechanisms they now use to inhibit exports from us.

Were we to install an IC plan, we might opt for some transition years in which we deliberately ran a relatively small deficit, a step that would enable the world to adjust as we gradually got where we need to be. Carrying this plan out, our government could either auction “bonus” ICs every month or simply give them, say, to less-developed countries needing to increase their exports. The latter course would deliver a form of foreign aid likely to be particularly effective and appreciated.

I will close by reminding you again that I cried wolf once before. In general, the batting average of doomsayers in the U.S. is terrible. Our country has consistently made fools of those who were skeptical about either our economic potential or our resiliency. Many pessimistic seers simply underestimated the dynamism that has allowed us to overcome problems that once seemed ominous. We still have a truly remarkable country and economy.

But I believe that in the trade deficit we also have a problem that is going to test all of our abilities to find a solution. A gently declining dollar will not provide the answer. True, it would reduce our trade deficit to a degree, but not by enough to halt the outflow of our country’s net worth and the resulting growth in our investment-income deficit.

Perhaps there are other solutions that make more sense than mine. However, wishful thinking — and its usual companion, thumb sucking — is not among them. From what I now see, action to halt the rapid outflow of our national wealth is called for, and ICs seem the least painful and most certain way to get the job done. Just keep remembering that this is not a small problem: For example, at the rate at which the rest of the world is now making net investments in the U.S., it could annually buy and sock away nearly 4 percent of our publicly traded stocks.

In evaluating business options at Berkshire, my partner, Charles Munger, suggests that we pay close attention to his jocular wish: “All I want to know is where I’m going to die, so I’ll never go there.” Framers of our trade policy should heed this caution — and steer clear of Squanderville.

WTF Pandora

pandora

So, yeah … I USED to listen to Pandora everyday at work. Mostly because it was highly customizable … but also because it was free. Now, I’ve mentioned before that I don’t have cable and for a while I didn’t even have a converter box and that I’m trying hard to make ends meet so subscribing to Pandora is last on my list. Sure, it’s $36 for the year. Sure, that seems like a bargain. However, I’m trying my hardest to be frugal and that means that I’ve had to make the switch to Windows Media Internet Radio. Needless to say I’m not the happiest about it. I think that if this keeps up I might just have to look at my budget and see about subscribing to Pandora … I’ll keep you posted. Please let me know your thoughts or what you listen to while you’re at work :-)

Make It ‘Till Monday

Today’s Music Monday song is Make It ‘Till Monday by The Verve.

“In a moment you’d changed
Things weren’t the same
You were talking at me not with me
And your tongue was burning up in flames”

This song is really speaking to me today. “When Monday comes you’ll be alone with the whole world glaring at you …” It’s been quite an interesting weekend for me. We’re not even going to go into the many things I am thinking right now. So, I’m giving my worries to God and praying for the best. Here’s to a new week … and to the bright new possibilities ahead.

Hope everyone had a wonderful weekend!

Come and let your presence

For You are the One we want to meet. Jesus shine through all the praises that we sing.

Come and let your presence fill our praise, fill our praise. Come and let your presence fill this place.

We have come to give you highest praise, highest praise. We have come to love you in this place.

It’s all for You. Here we are, here we are. It’s all for You. Here we are, here we are.

Hey y’all … I just had to post this as one of the Things I Like. I just can’t get enough of this worship song. Oh my Lord does it move me! Last night, at Engage the Spirit, we sang this song and we sang it LOUD. Lord, YOU are the One we want to meet! Jesus … shine through all the praises that we sing! God bless y’all … hope you’re having a blessed week!

For those interested:

Every Christ-follower needs an opportunity to worship without the constraint of time or necessary form. On one Wednesday a month, at 7pm, we gather to sing, pray, express our devotion to God and “engage the Spirit.” The goal of this special moment is simply to draw close to God and experience the power of His Spirit in our lives. If you love to worship, you will be tremendously blessed by participating in the next Engage the Spirit night. Let me know if you’re interested in attending our next event!

Journey

Welcome to another episode of Things I Like. Today I want to talk to you about a band called Journey … and more importantly a man called Steve Perry.

Yes, I realize that I’m only 30 years old. Yes, I realize that Journey really wasn’t popular when I was in high school. Yes, I did listen to 311 and Pearl Jam and RHCP and No Doubt and all the other great 90s bands. No, I’m not insane.

Look at those mullets. How amazing that people actually considered that attractive at some point in time. And even more amazing that some people are still holding on to the hairstyle even today!

So, back to the band Journey. Hmm, where do I start. How about the fact that “Don’t Stop Believin” is my ringtone and has been for the last 4 years and probably always forever will be. How about the fact that when Steve branched out on his own he managed to create amazing songs … and when he sings, “Oh Sherrie, our love holds on” I swear he’s really singing, “Oh Caron, our love holds on … holds on.”

Okay, lets face it … he’s not the most attractive man on the planet … but talented, yes. Steve Perry has been named by Rolling Stone as one of the 100 Greatest Singers Of All Time. With his wide range of vocal abilities, he was able to take the rock power ballad to a new level of emotion and feeling.

Journey formed in 1973 in San Francisco, California with former members of Santana. From the late 1970s to the early 1980s they had hits with a series of power ballads and rock songs, including “Don’t Stop Believing“, “Any Way You Want It“, “Faithfully“, “Open Arms“, “Separate Ways“, “Wheel in the Sky”, “Who’s Crying Now“, and ”Lovin,’ Touchin,’ Squeezin.’” Seriously folks … they’re amazing.

They had 18 Top 40 singles, six of which reached the Top 10 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart. Their signature song, “Don’t Stop Believing“, is the top-selling catalog track in iTunes history, at more than two million downloads. Now, they’ve gotten back together (minus Steve Perry) and the new lead is amazingly talented and they sound just the same as they always have. Check out this article about their reunion tour with Heart and Cheap Trick.

So, that’s all I really have to say about that … Journey is definitely one of the Things I Like. I can’t get enough and I don’t think that will ever change much to my friends chagrin.

Don’t stop believin… hold on to that feelin … :)

Call it Stormy Monday

Hey y’all … it’s been super rainy around these here parts and I felt that this video was a good post for this Music Monday. Call it Stormy Monday is a blues song written by T-Bone Walker and first recorded in 1947. This version above is by The Allman Brothers Band. They included a live performance (as “Stormy Monday”) on their album At Fillmore East in 1971. Enjoy!